Gallatin County is 69% more susceptible to flooding than all other counties in the country and its most vulnerable residents face the highest risk, according to a new analysis from Bozeman-based Headwaters Economics.
“We as a culture must fundamentally rethink wildfire and what it means to coexist with increasing risk,” said commission member Kimiko Barrett, of Montana-based Headwaters Economics.
Kimiko Barrett, lead wildfire policy analyst at Headwaters Economics, said she expects many federal firefighters to move on rather than take a pay cut in the coming weeks.
“And you’ll see at the same time, concurrently rising wildfire risks,” she said.
“These fires and the way that they are behaving right now are not going to be as extreme as they are going to be in the next decade. We have yet to see the full fruition of climate change come to light and how it’s going to influence wildfire behavior,” said Kimiko Barrett, lead wildfire researcher and policy analyst at nonprofit research group Headwaters Economics.
“Mobile homes are the most common affordable housing strategy in the United States,” said Kristin Smith, who researches flood recovery at the think tank Headwaters Economics, “And I think a lot of people don’t know that.”
“Policy is this slow-moving thing, but the market can be very responsive,” Megan Lawson, a researcher at the Montana think tank Headwaters Economics, said. “If you have a disproportionate share of homebuyers who are either investors or folks moving in with cash — that’s when you see the exponential price increases.”
As a first step, the agency should account for existing trails and roads, said Megan Lawson, an economist for Headwaters Economics, a nonprofit research firm based in Montana.
There are thousands of popular hiking trails in the Mountain West, but until recently it’s been difficult to measure just how many people use them. Now, the nonprofit Headwaters Economics is combining infrared counters with fitness tracking apps to accurately measure trail use so that land managers can get a better sense of how to spend on recreation improvements.
A report from Headwaters Economics showed that communities with fewer staff and less expertise were less likely to win grants from a federal wildfire-defense program. The Forest Service is trying two new tools to help these places, which tend to be rural, be more successful.
According to a Headwaters Economics Neighborhoods At Risk stormwater tool that Cedar Key used to create their plans, nearly 60 percent of properties are vulnerable to flooding during storms.
The abundance of natural attractions is sometimes called the amenity trap, and at least one research group has funded a study to help communities avoid “being loved to death.”
Headwaters Economics released this spring “Building for Wildfire in Montana: Protecting Communities with Statewide Wildfire Safety Standards.” This week, Montana’s Commissioner of Securities and Insurance issued a warning about insurance companies declining some coverage in Montana because of fire.
The agency and the company likely use different assumptions over how much energy production might occur over the next two decades, which could account for the large discrepancy, said Megan Lawson, an economist with Headwaters Economics, a Montana-based independent nonprofit research group.
According to an index developed by the nonprofit Headwaters Economics, 73 percent of Midwest communities have “low capacity” for climate resilience.
Until now, the heightened flood risk faced by mobile home park residents has received scant attention, said Kristin K. Smith from Headwaters Economics, a nonprofit research group.
Meanwhile, in the Western U.S., wildfires are happening more often and burning longer, says Kimiko Barrett, a wildfire research and policy analyst at Headwaters Economics, a nonprofit research group.
That double-edge sword of being a desirable outdoor recreation destination is known as the “amenity trap,” according to a new report from Bozeman-based Headwaters Economics. The report looks at the benefits and burdens faced by towns whose riches in outdoor recreation have brought a wealth of visitors too.
Studies by the Headwaters Economics think tank say trails attract new residents and entrepreneurs, boosting public health and tax income, but the influx can lead to less affordable housing and force out long-time residents unless economies diversify.
Last month, a report by Montana’s Headwaters Economics outlined the paradoxical challenges of living in a mountain town so plentiful with natural features that its allure brings in crushing numbers of visitors and second-home owners, thereby degrading the quality of life for locals. The report called this type of town an “amenity trap.”
Recent reports from researchers at Headwaters Economics and the Sightline Institute point to the need to rethink human development in the Wildland Urban Interface (WUI), the zone where flammable, unoccupied land meets man–made communities.
